What Is the Probability That Home Values Sink?
With
the current uncertainty about the economy triggered by a potential
trade war, some people are waiting to purchase their first home or
move-up to their dream house because they think or hope home prices will
drop over the next few years. However, the experts disagree with this
perspective.
Here is a table showing the predicted levels of appreciation from six major housing sources:As
we can see, every source believes home prices will continue to
appreciate (albeit at lower levels than we have seen over the last
several years). But, not one source is calling for residential real
estate values to depreciate.Additionally, ARCH Mortgage Insurance Company in their current Housing and Mortgage Market Review revealed their latest ARCH Risk Index, which estimates the probability of home prices being lower in two years. There was not one state that even had a moderate probability of home prices lowering. In fact, 34 of the 50 states had a minimal probability.
Bottom Line
Those waiting for prices to fall before purchasing a home should realize that the probability of that happening anytime soon is very low. With mortgage rates already at near historic lows, now may be the time to act.
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