This Week in Real Estate
Good Morning!
According to the November National Association of Home Builders
Housing Market Index released This Week in Real Estate
homebuilder confidence rose to its highest level since May following October
numbers that saw an increase in permits, but a small decline in starts.
Additionally this week, NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun, said in response to
inquiries about a bubble in 2022, “the signs are just not there.” Below are a
few newsworthy events from the third week of November that influence
our business:
* Housing Markets
Likely To Normalize in 2022, Says NAR’s Lawrence Yun. “All markets are seeing strong conditions and home sales are
the best they have been in 15 years,” said Yun. “The housing sector’s success
will continue, but I don’t expect next year’s performance to exceed this
year’s.” At the moment, home sales are the standout. And although there should
be a slowdown going into 2022, said Yun, they will likely remain above
pre-pandemic levels. The outcome, however, will largely depend on the influx of
inventory, and as mortgages exit the forbearance program, we should begin
seeing additional homes enter the market. In terms of a bubble for 2022, the
signs are just not there. While home prices have outpriced people’s income
overall, said Yun, with value growth matching up to 2005 levels, we don’t have
an oversupply situation or risky subprime lending like we did during the last
market crash.
* Homebuilder
Confidence Surges Past Expectations, As Buyer Demand Remains High. Higher
prices and longer wait times do not appear to be turning buyers away from the
nation’s homebuilders. With demand still surging, homebuilder confidence in the
market for single-family homes rose more than expected in November, to the
highest level since last May. “The solid market for home building continued in
November despite ongoing supply-side challenges,” said NAHB Chairman Chuck
Fowke. “Lack of resale inventory combined with strong consumer demand continues
to boost single-family home building.”
* Housing Starts Flatten,
Permits Promise Future Improvement. Residential
construction numbers were mixed in October. The U.S. Census Bureau and
Department of Housing and Urban Development report an increase in construction
permits but a small decline in construction starts. Overall, however, both
single-family and multi-family production are running well ahead of their 2020
results. The October permit rate was 3.4 percent above the pace in October
2020. Over the first 10 months of 2021 there were permits issued for 1.439 million
residential units, an increase of 20 percent from 1.199 million at the same
point in 2020. Single-family permitting has improved 17.3 percent
year-over-year to 949,400 units. Permits for multifamily construction are up
27.3 percent for the year-to-date at 446,700 units. Permitting saw the greatest
improvement in the West where it gained 8.1 percent and 11.1 percent
compared to September and October 2020. Single-family starts fell 3.9 percent
from September to 1.039 million from 1.081 million and were 10.6 percent
lower than they were in October 2020.
Full Story…
http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/11172021_residential_construction.asp
Have a productive week.
Jason
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